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[1:15] ..." around. On the other things on the agenda today we won't hear bill belichick's. News conference early today at Gillette stadium I would have that forty coming up -- a bit and in our number two"...
[9:26] ..." Williams can clog the middle like he used to with a rush Shawne Merriman and Shaun Phillips to create havoc on the outside the chargers should have an easy time with Tennessee and then they would have to travel to beat the colts. Well that's something they don't before an actual match up well against NB special signaling that. The thinking this is a big beat the colts they will be sky high for a trip to New England. Patriots upset the -- last year's playoffs so we're just going to assemble if you -- Ladainian Tomlinson wants a second chance. Is"...
[26:25] ..." in the emails and then -- him from patriots head coach Bill Belichick from earlier today. I Gillette stadium as the patriots are back to work in beginning the preparations for the divisional round of"...
[26:49] ..." official patriots mini helmet and Q did get 140. We in the New England Patriots authentic helmet complete the mask and Tom Brady autograph -- report every patriot fan to take advantage of the what kind of"...
[28:04] ..." right if you really are true patriots and the need to open New England Patriots checking account from Bank of America today he'll get checks check cards and even -- statement. All of the official New England Patriots logo. Thank you America is the official bank of the New England Patriots. To take advantage of this opportunity to make every day game day. Sign up for New England Patriots checking account today. Bank of America -- of opportunity. -- another game preseason -- the patriots signals including the patriots logo is"...
[32:42] ..." the NFC north championship. Also receiving little toward dallas' wade Phillips Jacksonville's Jack Del Rio. Indianapolis as Tony Dungy and Tampa -- John gruden. So there -- the only other patriots coach got a little relief award basically coach of the year. Will put ourselves. In 1994 and only did was fired his head coach of Miami today and cam Cameron -- I don't be surprised to -- maybe you presently so -- people that may be spike gate. Mike cause members of the media to think differently about Bill Belichick but. He has been named the Associated Press NFL coach of the year. And met with members of the patriots media Gillette"...
[48:51] ..." There's patriots head coach Bill Belichick who once again earlier in just fact just a matter of about ten minutes ago was named NFL coach of the year."...
[50:43] ..." com from now and Friday January the eleventh the proceeds -- this New England Patriots license plate it's basically license plate number 160. I signifying of course sixteen and hope for the patriots film these blue ribbon"...
[57:32] ..." You really are true patriots and you need to open New England Patriots checking account from Bank of America today he'll get checks check cards and even thanks statements Paul with the official New England Patriots logo. Thank -- America is the official bank of the New England Patriots. -- take advantage of this opportunity to make every day game day. And sign -- for New England Patriots checking account today Bank of America. Thanks for the opportunity thank American remembered -- New England Patriots emotion from the the patriots -- 2007 thank -- America corporation or."...
[1:05:36] ..." right elbow problems at the -- just about 1520 minutes ago that Bill Belichick been named the Associated Press and I felt. Coach of the year in mild surprise that he got an award based on"...
[1:06:17] ..." I would -- six. Six culture and I think that's a -- Jack Del Rio got a little order to Tony Dungy got to vote. I -- it'd be Associated Press award it's not that the coaches"...
[0:00]" I'll I'll I'll -- out well. It's patriots playbook government property and the don't have it right that -- patriots playbook. Breaking down last Monday's game yeah go ahead and handed him because of the -- going to pass over the top neck and he didn't want to go bought. 5381 error and the rest of the 2000 and NFL's he's it want. Here and a little one -- between -- and one great payment that you want right now."
[0:33]" And community and owners."
[0:36]" John Rollins College --"
[0:40]" Kind of just -- a different second yeah. I don't know it is still sort of the two thousand seventies should we shall we change that it doesn't eight. -- the -- just kind of wondering what. The look at inside patriots playbook here for a third base job recruiting and again apologize for the telephone reception easier we are broadcasting or come at you from Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Yes indeed Milwaukee, Wisconsin today it's. So we -- doing college basketball war tonight's Providence Marquette game so it's just hello restrict the New -- isn't it all the way around. On the other things on the agenda today we won't hear bill belichick's. News conference early today at Gillette stadium I would have that forty coming up -- a bit and in our number two the program as he normally does on Thursdays. Russell Baxter from ESP MR and a -- research coordinator. I he would -- join us to look at the you know wildcard match ups for this week in and who might -- you likely. Patriots parliament that was from the European point of view is that -- but I don't know between the program and -- from inside the locker room for you to direct. So all that kind of stuff is up coming on the program students had to play -- now. Right -- copier oh no question of the day I'm thinking you know okay. Can you wouldn't give him an opportunity to think yesterday you know we've we talked about the Williams I think actually the patriots might like. So what I'd like three -- two days since appealed to what you guys were talking about it right before coming on the program this afternoon given their predictions as to the wild card games this week it's sort of like -- would -- the -- card games this week. Inevitably you gonna get a chance not a backup who him light and we brought in particular much though the game against the patriots coming up on the twelfth. So wherever they know -- the patriots dot com. What radio at patriots dot com we email address -- here and there Lebanon who do you think will win the world -- and want to predict the NFC games as well that's certainly no right even though Alou won't have a whole lot of bearing I don't think I'm the patriots will have a that you looked -- predict all for the wild card game this weekend. I couldn't -- so when Bledsoe is seeing who comes out on top would definitely take a look at the two AFC games so we can get a bit of a bearing on how you don't think. These people -- we didn't -- his most likely to be facing the patriots coming up on the twelfth of this month so -- led off the bat now. Couple of stories that have seen on the -- of the Internet and a couple of newspapers services as well wire services -- over the last 24 hours that I wanted to discuss would you today. I know everybody has seen it or not -- fox sports dot com basically handicapped baseball who would beat teams -- most likely to continue and the little the patriots put suitable. And then they have the patriots obviously but the -- just effects they have the patriots could even odds more than one if you well to win the Super Bowl which. Shouldn't come as a tremendous surprise -- you -- to anybody else what they did then. They also had kept the other teams in the NFL on their likelihood to win the Super Bowl not so much grown up including the patriots -- their likelihood. To win the Super -- which a little bit of -- different perspective in terms of mom. Contenders if you look in the NFL they're pretty much you know given the patriots and because the patriots obviously you know they're pregnant. At the pleasure different story single elimination tournament a bad call or bad -- could wreck the patriots fortunes but they remain the best team. -- all the playoff game will be at home. So they make a -- mixed the weather in the plane -- should be conducive to their bombs away. Offense which is why obviously they have to take you to the top of the list by the spurs the other contenders. Are concerned this is how -- handicapped the entire twelve and look. If you will NFL tournament which would start with a wild card games -- and -- it was interesting reading an item of the Geneva could come as a surprise there was one team in particular. One team in particular that I -- a little bit surprised. In Russia that would even more but obviously the top contender they had the year we almost -- let's let's go to Bob most things will be differently here want to look at from the bottom up. And right at the bottom of the list Tuesday of the Tennessee Titans at a 150 to one. I can't imagine anybody's terribly surprised at Tennessee is the least favorite overall although I might have thought about Washington. Specials of the pictures were played Washington and beating him handily during the regular season but like this so this shouldn't so much comparison with the patriots as to reduce crude -- I think as an opportunity to win the Super Bowl. Regardless of who's there blitzer live -- Tennessee Titans at 151 this is the titans back into the playoffs. And as much even respect coach Jeff Fisher and know -- would be prepared that insisted there's no confidence convince him to play the game of his life. And that's what it would take too upset win -- in particular. So that's courtesy of 150 to one -- work. There's actually had a 1021. A 1021 and the number one I was surprised Mike -- program moved -- to -- but the -- but fox sports does that distinguish you get eliminated. Does -- tonight. The loss to Jacksonville last time it will parker would lead in the NFL in rushing at the time. Still don't have the offensive lineman more to -- the patriots Ben Roethlisberger definitely doesn't have enough protection to pass all over so Pittsburgh as. No shot so Pittsburgh -- a 101 they have the Redskins it's a 75 to want. Looking at 75 once they have Seattle also at 75 toward and then. Then he gets a little bit more realistic the giants are listed at 31 again by fox sports dot com it says here is did -- good it is to forget question Saturdays masterpiece in the middle and the giants would never win a rematch with the patriots they give the -- shop already New England definitely wouldn't take them lightly one -- to consider the closing out of sixteen postseason isn't the same magnitude as winning the Super Bowl. But at this matchup happens New England New York and New England will win and it will be close. Also listed at 321 will be Tampa Bay until the bucks -- would after shock the world if they ended up in Phoenix and Jon gruden would have a game plan for the patriots but the Bucs are truly -- Clinton may be too -- quarterback to will be a factor. Green Bay is listed at 221. What adult Packers have closed the gap on the cowboys from the earlier meeting a Green Bay New England should -- be every change its favorite. That far versus Tom Brady the billboards special the Packers quarterbacks could press New England receivers and maybe cause some concern from Boston -- but overall Green Bay doesn't have the arsenal. Com Jacksonville now get into the -- favorites to Jacksonville -- listed at twelve to one. The jaguars for the current flavor of the month that physical style both on offense and defense. Definitely would pose problems for the patriots there's no doubt that they would demolished Pittsburgh for the second time in 21 days. This weekend and then says he'll do will earn themselves a playoff date with the patriots they have -- twelve former world to win the Super Bowl dallas' look at it and -- want. -- don't want to build this was the simple everyone was looking forward to but the -- and slipped a little on offense down the stretch but couldn't score a touchdown in losses to Philadelphia Washington. Of course that meant to them basically it's Washington anyway as I think we don't know and then there's the big until one question will he recover from a high ankle strength. How good does well as the NFC could get there wade Phillips well install a couple of defensive wrinkles that Brady hasn't seen. And with two weeks to prepare the cowboys might be able to slow down. You know go to highest scoring offense ever. But so we're the Dallas offense been in second beautiful wild and says here the food companies coaches aren't sure they could beat the reds can -- Sunday even if they weren't. Listings in regards to the capitalist -- one as the third favorite to San Diego is the second favorite and -- people want. Charges are finally beginning to play well -- nose tackle Jamal Williams can clog the middle like he used to with a rush Shawne Merriman and Shaun Phillips to create havoc on the outside the chargers should have an easy time with Tennessee and then they would have to travel to beat the colts. Well that's something they don't before an actual match up well against NB special signaling that. The thinking this is a big beat the colts they will be sky high for a trip to New England. Patriots upset the -- last year's playoffs so we're just going to assemble if you -- Ladainian Tomlinson wants a second chance. Is thinking but there -- man possessed this time around. So they like San Diego might be the sleeper pick here according to fox in the courses PM. Excuse me in the chiefs' favorite under the New England for the super they have Indianapolis listed at 41 the cold -- the patriot drive with a one of them back in week number Reggie Wayne dropped a potential touchdown. Peyton Manning misfired on the next position in it was -- to an -- looked coach couldn't contain Welker in the fourth quarter. And that was the difference. So whoever that was -- an interesting interesting leaving patriots -- even money favorite to win the -- the chargers next dead people want. You -- out and bought some land I moved here from -- live radio at patriots dot com. Give us some thoughts on not how they work -- had to determine terms of the odds on the favorites to win that all of in the Super Bowl -- understand things are going to reading that I came across in the last day. -- came from other folks that just got -- Are they doing a lot of research. For a -- PM and espn.com. And from time to time improved some of the doomed musings on the Internet in the actually published this from all the get a little bit of digging to find it what we do that it. It is really. Came up with -- analyzing that every team in every. See him in this decade from 2000 to 2007 this year also drinks. In the weaknesses translated to what they -- playoff performance in other -- If you were strong one team where you're strong defensive team well how far did you team advanced well. Does in other words didn't prince William -- the chips do we need to have a running game in order to win in December and January those kind of typical things that we all assume. To an extent to be true twelve scouts what -- did this research previous conduct Compaq. And certainly the goal -- to project which teams might enjoy it without success this year. They looked upon characteristics evident during the regular season. So what they do that there's been measured each of the 254 teams during 20022007. In 36 statistical categories. -- that is just go -- right this withdrawal categories that -- by the league eighteen on each side of the ball eighteen offense eighteen to advance these statistical analysis revealed which categories. I would most strongly to regular season victory totals then they know how many playoff games. -- pre 2017 to one in which team won and lost some doubles. Other said no single factor determines whether -- team to win playoff games and some -- there was not one thing that you could know. But outside -- that one factor will win the Super Bowl. There are a lot of good and bad tendencies -- trends but no one single factor determines whether team wins a twelve game. Ultimately who wins a championship. We didn't hear that some -- tended to be more important than others but there's no one single factor itself considering every ball -- extensive research they don't let me get a skim over this little you know it's it is expensive here but -- we're number one. Conventional wisdom that defense wins championships. It and kind of -- says that's true. Scoring deeper into it's far more important than yardage related indicators. But three teams that allowed the fewest regular season points. In 2138 playoff games and the Pentagon needs -- wouldn't Bible of them. No but the 35 -- many statistical categories including point differential per game included such telling results. When the colts. Since 2000 all of last year was called twelve Super Bowl after allowing more than seventeen points per game. During the regular season they allowed 22 and a half but once we know Bob Sanders improved once we know Bob Sanders got back in the lineup well. The difference improved remarkably during the playoff run on -- that was truly one of the stories are western paradox the cold throughout only sixteen point four points per game this week or so almost a touchdown or less than what they gave up -- would -- and that would -- perished in the Pittsburgh was next at sixteen point eight. -- was third at sixteen point nine the patriots look forward seventeen point Lauren. But of course the patriots we almost -- the reputation on offense this year than the big difference whether interest rates are starting used that against his 2000 all the one pain. Has won a Super Bowl after allowing more than seventeen points per game. Called Leicester the patriots just a fraction. But I fraction of the -- more than seventy points per game that your defense quick but those kind of interest types. Conventional wisdom number two earlier home field advantage means over picked."
[15:03]" Scott -- those faults. Road from one point sort of so wild card playoff games following the 2004 and 2005 sentence. Two years ago standard kept winning on the road right -- sugar bowl forty in Detroit. Of course the appropriate record should the money went over Seattle Baltimore won two road playoff games will be the giants in the Super Bowl in 2000. Course the patriots in 2001 and they want the AFC title game in Pittsburgh after that Tampa Bay won't make NFC title game and Felix. -- won't change at one point 28 different from around games since 2000. So that might bode well for the patriots in their first game this year one home team lost and recovered chairmanship -- I'm pushing six consecutive seasons. Until Chicago and -- one at home last year. Interest and so on building manager doesn't necessarily mean everything here's interest -- not a conventional wisdom number three teens must run the ball and stop -- run. We got a lot of conversation about this over the course of this being -- and make. Frequent guest this program and it was an incredibly you know this has certainly been topic of conversation. And the answer here is false while running the ball into stopping the opponents run is always a good idea. But for Norwegians teams that have done so. Most convincingly have not gone very far. Fifteen changed since 2000 who rushed for more than a 140 yards per game on offense while holding opponents 400 per game. Out of those changed the 2005 Seattle Seahawks really all of them Warren to win more than one playoff game. But the others including non playoff teams like the current Minnesota Vikings combined to win part. So pretty clean since 2000 it has run out -- their opponents by at least forty yards per game not -- the vikings jaguars and Steelers this season those teams won 22 playoff games. And we to implement some holes that's not bad. But very -- indicators produced a similar result a lot of them another thirty high scoring teams over the same period 123 playoff games. So possession in the NFL rushing champ doesn't mean much come playoff time no one up so rushing champion Denver's Terrell Davis in the NBA. Has won -- Super Bowl. Listening to and I -- so that means that doesn't bode very well I would think Ladainian Tomlinson. In San Diego he's going to try to break the streak obviously this year but of course the -- have won a playoff game and more than decorate five team since 2000. Have gained more yards rushing and passing during the season. The following week one at least -- Michigan has been only the falcons in 2004 won a playoff game and they were one and done. So Russian installed in the -- go to Greg and his ability it's not conducive to winning championships. Okay -- before conventional wisdom balanced offenses always have an advantage. And the verdict and that what is false again. Balanced team -- generally aren't proficient -- the player. But even dreamed of highly productive passing and running games and struggled to win the playoffs to balanced doesn't necessarily mean everything. The eagles were the only team that -- to average more than 230 yards passing in a 112 yards rushing per game and what do they do. They finished they make the most balanced team really in the entire NFL do you look at the role statistical numbers -- finished eight make. Fifteen other teams with those averages that he -- since 2002 finished the regular season would double digit wins. But I there's fifteen teams that won only five playoff games. And almost won the next group the ones they were rampant the Super Bowl which of course they lost the patriots. The mood to -- us open is also have not done much better this is sort of a statistical anomaly here guest. -- the currency is important 570 largest fast rush yardage imbalances since 2000. And the other pro league east village and went all went two wins Super Bowls are winning non playoff game to Russia would that says about this year conventional wisdom number five Super Bowl teams usually have a franchise quarterbacks. The what do you think about this. True false. Will be put that at. But the interest true planet into one chairmanship weeks yeah what they call caretakers at quarterback but not so much lately he's got. -- Ben Roethlisberger Manning they -- I was seven Super Bowl this decade. This season top two seeds in each conference -- quarterbacks wouldn't you know important big dollar contracts include Tony Romo that -- you know he has yet to win a playoff game. Only Trent Dilfer Baltimore and brad Johnson at Tampa won Super Bowls during the relatively short time put their teams get this trend. Judge speaking suitable opening. Don't usually hear what the called franchise quarterbacks right a couple of more here momentum is crucial -- heading into the playoffs. True -- false. Well -- this year there was no -- openings and enjoy the most success in the divisional round. After having a bye week to rest but -- presumably would emerging momentum but not enough apparently to also be apparent advantage of extra time. The best teams tend to win no matter the coming year recent Super Bowl winners often finished the regular season strong. Two teams have won some doubles and 2000 without finishing strong. The other two bucks lost in weeks thirteen and sixteen the -- last year lost for the last seven. Could turn on the switch. In the playoffs so. There is no real answer to that that you think you would tend to mean good things. But not necessarily. Are you a joke anything can happen in the playoffs. Because that is definitely true Stewart won a Super Bowl this BC's number 62 lead -- Years ago. They defeated top seeded Seattle in the NFC in 2003 Carolina. -- took wild card -- into a divisional round upset over twelve win rams team. And averaged twenty points per game of course we know the 2001 patriots were a Cinderella story is still believes. So -- episode and anything can indeed happened in the playoffs would certainly has to despite just and the you know the intrude for the extra season here. Special teams are 13 of the game and emerged. -- carry as much weight -- offense and decent production. The answers -- Chicago's Devin Hester returned the opening kickoff for a touchdown last year in the Super Bowl with a -- Indy -- team out there might there. Little -- the Redskins blocked a kick in the Super -- the Miami won the game. We remember Buffalo's last second Super Bowl list against the giants because it was dramatic and of course it was unusual. The fifteen highest rated special team units. From 2000 until the 2006 one anywhere from two to thirteen regular season games but only five -- of the top 13 appeared in Super Bowls. So wanted to be going to matter more complete player than due to special tapes. So the conclusion according to scouts think. In terms of trends and whether or not you -- Alou one team has an edge over another or whether or not you know yeah. Have to run the football in the wintertime in order to be successful in the playoffs it was going to bring that conclusion here that change exceptionally strong. In specific areas can sometimes win championships in spite of shortcomings. The might derail others. -- the words if you got something that's prolific going for him. It's best to continue playing their card. For instance the defensive dominance carried the ravens in 2000. The wind was passing game this year has been prolific right well why change from that why depend on the road when the passing game has gotten you read that you. And I think according to numbers. In accordance trends and statistics the patriots would be best served to basically go try to win it you have achieved what has gotten them to this point in time."
[23:50]" So do you consider what should chamber should for the patriots really have not had to bother with such detailed as far -- scoring run around 37 points per game so. -- they -- the patriots are doing exactly what the colts did last year. Just doing -- completely different level. Without opening was going to biggest -- and I wanted to show those numbers really because of that they were all sitting here trying to figure out not only -- and the patriots are going to play. Come on I'm on the tore open poorly. -- likely. Could not the patriots -- to anybody who's going to do. I think that has to be be expected that that -- to -- the question that is probably -- in the back of the room when some colleges here you can kind of political play of -- and of course. All the other eleven. Opinions in the postseason alternative going to -- walk. They what can we do explode take -- how can we beat the patriots how can we learn from the -- the giants did what the ravens did what the eagles did a particular. You know do we have a shot is this really -- type of tournament you know there are the patriots foregone conclusion to win at all. That's why you know because we're all trying to figure these things out at this point -- that's what some of the intrigue. You know coming in from a lot of the trends in a lot of the statistical sport until we've seen win championships over the course of the last six over the years since 2000 and I think we know realizes 2000 of the big game. Overall has changed well not dramatically but it has changed. And some of the conventional wisdom is getting pushed aside because of this different -- in which -- him all the offense is starting to mean more. But it doesn't mean the difference one eventually catch up what -- often just doing right there. The patriots put them as we mentioned many times on this program before this year. The patriots have would do the best cruelly I think described as they perfect pitch dorm. On offense you have. Eighteen that has specific talents and its stride it and certainly seemed to have enough emotion if not you know desire on their side in an effort to produce extraordinary results. And so you've got debt load by all means you've got to kind of continue to play that card to change do you right now could do it it will be could prove fatal the playoffs web radio pat patriots dot com -- the email address. You know coming in today from Milwaukee, Wisconsin who got some college basketball duties again tonight. Although we're glad you took time to tune into your patriots dot com radio. I come up for the program going to get a timeout and here -- coming up get this in the emails and then -- him from patriots head coach Bill Belichick from earlier today. I Gillette stadium as the patriots are back to work in beginning the preparations for the divisional round of the playoffs. Next week more inside the playbook in just a moment."
[26:39]" Couldn't read on gently into Super Bowl MVP and kicked off 2000 -- record."
[26:48]" Hopefully the official patriots mini helmet and Q did get 140. We in the New England Patriots authentic helmet complete the mask and Tom Brady autograph -- report every patriot fan to take advantage of the what kind of all you to do was -- qualify -- you think America patriots points visa cards plus your card patriots extra point. -- lifetime experiences you can memorabilia -- get much more don't know what you -- patriots extra points dot com or call 100 NFL Monday night 29 to get your plate of America patriots extra point two weeks ago when people. Look at -- autograph like Tom Brady patriots extra boy one. Attacked 200 number for those -- qualified for 2002 extra points dot com."
[27:40]" All right Jermaine big day and we've got to go patriots kick off and an -- make -- we got everything right that -- they -- Jack helmet at home being Jack Jack Jack Jack Jack. It got Jack --"
[27:54]" Thing -- I had golf bag. Her -- no pat oh that's the."
[28:04]" That's right if you really are true patriots and the need to open New England Patriots checking account from Bank of America today he'll get checks check cards and even -- statement. All of the official New England Patriots logo. Thank you America is the official bank of the New England Patriots. To take advantage of this opportunity to make every day game day. Sign up for New England Patriots checking account today. Bank of America -- of opportunity. -- another game preseason -- the patriots signals including the patriots logo is property losing patience of people who used to seem to have lessons and the patriots -- 2007 type of America corporation all."